A dataset containing historical electoral polls compiled by Poder360. This dataset is used to calculate empirical priors for the models.
Format
A data frame with columns:
- ano
Election year
- cargo
Office being contested
- condicao
Condition (e.g., stimulated)
- contratante
Entity that paid for the poll
- data
Date of the poll
- data_referencia
Reference date for the poll
- descricao_cenario
Description of the electoral scenario
- id_candidato_poder360
Unique ID for the candidate
- id_cenario
Unique ID for the scenario
- id_pesquisa
Unique ID for the poll
- instituto
Name of the polling institute
- margem_mais
Upper margin of error
- margem_menos
Lower margin of error
- nome_candidato
Candidate name
- nome_municipio
City name (if applicable)
- numero_registro
Official registration number
- orgao_registro
Entity where the poll was registered
- percentual
Voting intention percentage
- quantidade_entrevistas
Sample size
- sigla_partido
Political party abbreviation
- sigla_uf
State abbreviation
- tipo
Poll type
- tipo_voto
Vote type (Total, Valid, etc.)
- turno
Election round (1 or 2)
Source
Poder360 via Base dos Dados